"Diffusion of Innovations in ICT
Markets:
A Guide to Network
Externalities
and Critical Mass Dynamics"
ABSTRACT
In
this paper we review diffusion of innovations in the Information
Communications Technology (ICT) markets. We discuss the relevance of
network effects in an interconnected economy and look at the
self-reinforcing dynamics of increasing returns in the form of network
externalities, critical mass and market tipping. Critical mass triggers
exponential market growth at a particular stage in the life-cycle of a
network product. Market tipping is as a key consequence of increasing
returns whereby successful standards may benefit from a
‘winner
takes all’ scenario.
Keywords:
network effects,
network externalities, critical mass, market tipping, increasing
returns, switching costs, installed base, lock in, standards war, open
standards, bandwagon effects, information communications technology
(ICT).
~~~
Information
Communication Technologies (ICT) are settling into a new industrial
landscape brought about by digitisation and convergence of products and
networks. Convergence has been enabled by the speed of delivery of the
internet, voice and data, and it has decreased the cost of storage of
information and of transmission. Digital technology permits the
delivery of a wide range of products in an innovative, intuitive and
customised fashion over a combined electronic communication platform.
Integrated networks provide ICT companies with an opportunity to invest
and launch flexible and timely products for considerably lower costs.
Information
technologies have become institutionalised across the world and are now
having a revolutionary effect on corporate strategy. The new
environment of convergence and digitisation puts pressure on ICT
sectors to maximise economies of scale and scope, to enhance
competition at the retail level and to deliver value-to-customers
efficiently. Executives are rethinking the strategic fundamentals of
business practices, not just in technology and communications
industries, but also across the entire spectrum of industries.
Many of the
component parts of this new ICT industry, such as telecommunications,
the internet, computing and software, are shaping significant parts of
the corporate environment into a new ‘network
economy’. The
essence of networks is the existence of multiple nodes, the
interconnectivity between them, and the co-operative (as opposed to
competitive) behaviour of the nodes. As we shall see, networks have
increasing returns to scale characteristics. The dynamics of
corporations and the new information economy will increasingly reflect
these increasing returns to scale and, therefore, understanding how
such networks work is the key to developing a new set of strategies in
this new, information-based corporate landscape.........
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